Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.001094 1.242510e-03 0.001393 0.001555 0.001724 0.001896 0.002082
2025-08-24 0.000816 1.023970e-03 0.001242 0.001484 0.001744 0.002013 0.002310
2025-08-31 0.000643 8.942533e-04 0.001167 0.001478 0.001820 0.002180 0.002584
2025-09-07 0.000522 8.066010e-04 0.001127 0.001502 0.001921 0.002369 0.002877
2025-09-14 0.000389 6.901996e-04 0.001043 0.001469 0.001953 0.002478 0.003080
2025-09-21 0.000312 6.308947e-04 0.001019 0.001497 0.002050 0.002654 0.003353
2025-09-28 0.000266 6.039696e-04 0.001029 0.001562 0.002185 0.002872 0.003670
2025-10-05 0.000200 5.405132e-04 0.000989 0.001564 0.002245 0.003002 0.003887
2025-10-12 0.000154 4.985485e-04 0.000972 0.001589 0.002329 0.003157 0.004132
2025-10-19 0.000102 4.345250e-04 0.000920 0.001570 0.002358 0.003248 0.004300
2025-10-26 0.000065 3.861538e-04 0.000885 0.001567 0.002404 0.003356 0.004487
2025-11-02 0.000031 3.290456e-04 0.000832 0.001539 0.002418 0.003425 0.004628
2025-11-09 0.000004 2.606218e-04 0.000770 0.001515 0.002459 0.003550 0.004864
2025-11-16 NaN 1.747303e-04 0.000669 0.001434 0.002428 0.003594 0.005009
2025-11-23 NaN 1.279924e-04 0.000621 0.001422 0.002481 0.003736 0.005266
2025-11-30 NaN 9.844695e-05 0.000597 0.001441 0.002572 0.003922 0.005575
2025-12-07 NaN 5.828942e-05 0.000538 0.001405 0.002593 0.004022 0.005784
2025-12-14 NaN 4.097216e-05 0.000523 0.001431 0.002690 0.004214 0.006099
2025-12-21 NaN 3.412911e-05 0.000533 0.001494 0.002835 0.004462 0.006479
2025-12-28 NaN 1.760492e-05 0.000503 0.001495 0.002897 0.004610 0.006739
2026-01-04 NaN 8.813032e-06 0.000490 0.001519 0.002989 0.004793 0.007041
2026-01-11 NaN 5.012893e-07 0.000451 0.001500 0.003021 0.004901 0.007253
2026-01-18 NaN NaN 0.000424 0.001497 0.003074 0.005034 0.007493